Before I go into my suggestion, let me say that is all it is. I’m not saying this is the case, or even that I believe it’s the case, only that its possible. I’ve used some things we know (facts), some things we have been told (hearsay) and some speculation and fully accept the latter two categories can be easily dismissed with other hearsay and speculation. I’m not asking anyone to accept the premise, just don’t dismiss it before you have considered it.
Firstly, there have been studies that prove an 85% correlation between spending and success, across all mayor football leagues Let me repeat that “studies” STUDIES, not my opinion. So if you are looking at it from a business/investment angle, you would conclude to have better than a 15% chance of regularly being in the top 4, you would have to be in the top 4 spenders. Well we are not We can not come near the spending levels of City, United and Chelsea. That leaves one spot, and Liverpool are spending much more than us to secure that spot. In simple terms, to get the 4th spot regularly, we have to outspend Liverpool. But outspending them we are not.
What then if Arsenal have decided that the cost of chasing this top 4 spot is beyond what they want to spend? What if on a business level they have decided 5th or 6th is the way forward?
In the last couple of days we have learned that Stan Kroenke is the 100% owner and all trading on Arsenal shares has stopped. I am told that all his other sports businesses do not spend on the levels to “compete”. So why will Arsenal be different?
We know that we have been out of the top 4 for two years and we are told that it’s unlikely we will be back in it this year (I believe we could by the way), and yet our the club’s value is at record levels and we have moved up in the list of most valuable clubs. Also , despite no top 4, we have negotiated record sponsorship deals.
So does it make business sense to spend at levels that will increase the debt burden (It’s already the 2nd highest in the league behind only MUFC in the hope we might get CL football. ? It might not you know?
We know Ivan Gazidis is leaving. Many people find that hard to understand after all his efforts to bring in a new regime. What if he has been told that we will not be spending at the required levels and doesn’t want to be blamed?
We were told Mikel Arteta was going to be our new head coach we have been told Gazidis favoured him and we have been told that Arteta decided against it because he would not have been given the money, he felt he needed, to compete.All of what were have been told could be bollocks, but what if it’s not?
We have been told that previously a 4 year deal was offered to Aaron Ramsey, which he had accepted,and now we are told that offer has been removed and Arsenal “are not in a position” to proceed. Well what if that is because Arsenal have decided not to pay CL wages because we won’t be in it, and they have accepted not being in it?
If Arsenal have decided not to chase top 4 on business decisions, all of this makes at least some sense?
The problem is we as fans don’t want to think of football as a business. We don’t want to accept that City and Chelsea have bought our place at the top table. We rail against the studies that prove a massive correlation between spend and success, because we don’t want it to be true. We do not want to see the club we love and the game we love become more like Monopoly. But that is how it is now.
I liked this
There you have it then, Its a disturbing thought that I wish I had never had……………..Sorry