As is usual after a win, and a resounding win at that, there is a mood of positivity in the fanbase after the 5-1 thrashing of Everton as the two new boys, Auba and Mhki made impressive joint debuts in the red of Arsenal instead of the yellow of BVB-Dortmund when they last played together. Mhkitaryan had three assists, more than Alexis, his counterweight in the swap with United, had for Arsenal in his prior four months this season. One of his assists was for Aubameyang who scored a classy goal, albeit offside in the build-up.
But moods change rapidly in football. Most fan-bases in the premier league, and I daresay in most of the big European leagues, are dominated by fickle, emotional supporters who, after a win, regard their team and manager as invincible and untouchable versus being the most useless, spineless, lickspittles after a loss. Auba, Mikhi and the hat-trick hero Ramsey may have been the toast of the town over the weekend but dare they fail to do the business in next weekend’s NLD and almost all said same fans will demand that heads roll starting with the manager.
It is a fact that professional football is a “results business” and, as we at PA always stress, no other club has been as consistently successful as Arsenal under Arsene Wenger over the past 21 years despite lacking the financial firepower of its rivals. Manchester United has always been a commercial heavyweight able to consistently outspend Arsenal on players but over recent years they have been joined and even surpassed by Chelsea and Manchester City whose oligarchic owners have invested massive outside money to make them formidable contenders; the three have monopolized the premier league title over the past 13 years with the Leicester City year being the notable exception.
Despite the financial shackles of paying for the stadium, which really took hold in the 05-6 season as big, experienced players were beginning to be sold and replaced by youthful prospects or second tier talent, up to 2016 Wenger was successful in keeping Arsenal in the top-four. But the latter season, after 20 years, was Arsenal’s premier league apogee, finishing 5th.
In the face of a relatively studious silence by the mainstream media as well as the so-called Arsenal bloggers and podcasters since last summer, there has been a massive reaction from the club to its 16/17 failure. Last summer there was the acquisition of Lacazette for what was then the new Arsenal transfer record of £47.70 million. Most people have quickly forgotten how in that window Lucas Perez, Gabriel and Oxlade-Chamberlain were sold or loaned. The latter deal was a typical piece of transfer poker by Wenger, extolling the virtues of the Englishman and playing hardball up to the deadline, eventually rinsing Liverpool for £40 million. (I can’t stop laughing.)
In the blog I did after the 2017 summer window titled Arsenal Annihaliates The Agents & Speculators In The Window, while describing how City and Chelsea were forking over massive profits to the selling clubs and the agents involved, I made the following point:
Conspicuously absent from this excessive consumption is Arsenal which paid a mere £2.7 million surplus for the acquisition of Alexander Lacazette. Arsenal is 3rd only to Swansea and West Brom who through smart pricing and use of the loan system were able to generate value in excess of price from their acquisitions.
This is not to say Arsenal was afraid to pay big money for a special player. It emerged on deadline day the club was willing to pay up to £100 million for Thomas Lemar, a talented midfielder needed to fill a gaping vacancy that currently exists. Arsene Wenger disclosed publicly the deal fell through because the player was not ready for the move but pledged he would, when the opportunity next arise, make another attempt to do the deal.
Meanwhile the financial geniuses who dominate Arsenal twitter, blogs and podcasts post August 31st attacked the club for having the financial discipline and resoluteness to not fall for the agents hyping players of modest value for inflated prices. Adding to the din and hysteria was certain so-called Arsenal legends who seem more interested in giving credence to agent talk than protecting the club’s long term financial strength. It begs the question who is in bed with these agents, whether as friends or business partners. Why would a blogger mock the club for making a £30 million profit on deadline day with the capacity to go back in the market to make a £100 million acquisition in the future?
Today I feel a bit like a prophet but only just. I simply followed the data and let it lead me to the logical conclusion. Within five months the club was able to:
- Exchange with United, what the media imagined to be its biggest star, in return for a world class midfielder who is less wasteful and less selfish with the football.
- Sell two under-used 100 goal strikers for a combined sum of approximately £30 million.
- Able to acquire for a new Arsenal transfer record a world class striker for £57.38 million.
- Resign its greatest asset for an additional three years, arguably the best midfielder in the world, for what is unheard of at Arsenal, a princely but competitive salary of £350,000 per week.
Upon totting up the figures, one big blogger was moved to complain to his followers that the club was being deceptive with its spending as it ended with a £7.5 million surplus on transfers. It betrayed an abject understanding of the real cost of running a football club. It is not the transfers, it is the wages. Any money saved on transfers goes into paying the escalating salaries for the quality players need by a club, such as Arsenal, if it is to return to the top echelons of the Premier league and eventually compete for the title.
In retrospect there has been a massive rebuild. The first team squad is less in quantity but arguably greater in quality. Yet as Arsene explained the club would have loved to sign a defender but the quality was not available at the right price. Wenger pointed to the massive price City had to pay for their defensive reinforcement as an example of the difficulty facing buying clubs. That may explain why Arsenal’s reported interest in Johnny Evans ran aground.
Seemingly the club and Arsene Wenger have decided to grab the nettle and make a strong run over the remaining 12 games in the season while strategically preparing for a title run in 2018/19. As the graph at the start illustrates the club has so far this season earned a measly 1.73 points per game (ppg), substantially below the prior 21-year mean of 1.98 ppg. In contrast City is currently cruising at a 2.65 ppg, emphasizing the magnitude of the gap between 1st and 6th. This is the challenge that awaits Messers Anbameyang and Mikhitaryan as part of a streamlined, upgraded squad.
Arsene Wenger has been a model of consistency. History and the laws of probability predict his teams usually revert to and, if they are good enough, exceed the mean. Time will tell.
Positively Arsenal 
A good insight Shotta. Thanks, May it all come together this w/end.
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The exodus that has taken place over the last 2 windows truly was extraordinary – some of these players past their prime, some not fitting into our system, some probably not good enough for what Arsenal aspires to be, some simply wanting to seek pastures new. While we have not recruited to offset said exodus in terms of quantity, I cannot image even the staunchest AW or Arsenal critics argue we have not improved in quality or fitness (not physical, but stylistic).
A late surge is on the cards, and hopefully, it starts this Saturday at Wembley.
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Very good Shotta (and also Andy from Sunday).
I’m wondering what will constitute a ‘saved season’ – presumably winning the Europa and/or finishing in the newly venerated top four segment of the PL. Victory in the Milk Cup will give us ‘four trophies in 5 years’ which ordinarily would shut up most detractors of any other club in the world.
But as we all know, these are not ‘ordinary’ times and Arsenal have never really been an ‘ordinary’ club. Different standards appear to apply – or are applied – and the dead weight of expectation is never far from clouding everyone’s view of the club.
I’ve always believed that Arsene would be true to his word and leave the club if his own view of the standards required dropped through a certain threshold.
My assumption was the threshold being a minimum Top 4 finish. However, this has been clouded somewhat by our cup form of the last five years and the fact that Wembley, even now, is considered more Arsenal’s home than Tottenham’s is testament to this.
When Arsene signed the two year extension last summer I did wonder whether it was to get the critics off his back while he and the club conducted an orderly handover during 2017-18. His decision not to renew sooner tells me he was keeping his options open regarding his departure. The squad breakdown following Bayern Munich must have felt like a low-point like no other, at the time.
With the stunning acquisitions of Mickey, Aub and Mesut ‘exactly like a new signing’ Ozil, combined with the release of numerous very high profile players, combined with the recruitment of the new ‘backroom’ staff, one is forced to wonder will Arsene give it a real good go for the remainder of the season and take a view in May.
The performance against Everton may or may not prove to be a red herring. The fact is, we have played better against worst teams and still ended up with a draw/shock defeat. Those five goals had to be tucked away and they were taken with aplomb with new players fast-tracking their bedding-in and delivering the goods within the first 20 odd minutes of Saturday’s splendid game. The contributions of Ramsey and Ozil were hardly over-shadowed and overall the team looked to be in a very good place.
I’m firmly of the view Sanchez cost us at least a couple of year’s development and we evidently went backwards to our 5th place in the PL and no CL involvement this year.
Arsene expressed disappointment with the conclusion of the window in January despite it surely being our best winter window of all time. Those are not the words of someone looking to hang up their faulty zipper. I think he’d like to push on.
If the newbies alongside the best of the rest deliver a rock ‘n’ roll finish to the season, there’s every chance everyone will be begging him to stay even if he did contemplate leaving this summer.
And what a turnaround THAT would be.
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I feel we’re about in the middle of a massive rebuild. Not so much in numbers but in finding a settled team and way of playing.
The two huge signings give us a chance of finishing strong through overwhelming teams with attack, increasing confidence in process, but at the same time it feels like we are gearing up for next season and beyond.
Wenger choosing to talk about the need for balance between attack and defence after a resounding victory might hint at that, and comes immediately after his frank admission he wanted to do some more in window, and (I think?) particularly in defence.
There are few parts of the team which feel truly settled at the moment:
Most signs point to sticking with two at back, which I believe has implications for Chambers, Holding and Kolasinac. Mustafi and Kos clear first choice pairing, but we know Kos will need to be used carefully from here.
Centre mid not that settled. Four options. Xhaka Ramsey first choice but Ramsey injury interrupted partnership. Barring injury we now see how revitalised Wilshere fits. Again barring injury we see if those three plus Elneny can provide that balance behind a new look attack with its huge potential.
Question mark over keeper for next year.
I heartily approve of what we’ve done with sales, streamlining the squad as Shotta says, though Giroud going was one I struggle with, but understand and accept.
The potential of Mikhi and Ozil, supported by others, creating a quality overload in final third is extremely promising, as is Aubameyang causing mayhem running in behind, though that is mostly dependant on establishing a lead first, capitalising on that and bringing teams out.
We now have to see if the way the two games have gone from 4-0 is meaningful, and linked to our away travails, or mostly a matter of easing up.
I feel we currently have this awesome blitzkrieg ability, high wire stuff, done at speed and great intensity, but don’t really have the means to control a game. I think there’s a link there between the 2nd halves of 4-0 up and the Swans game at 1-0 up, plus whole of season.
So my hopes firmly pinned on blitzkrieg stuff doing a lot of damage, including making teams warier of us; plus injuries not hampering partnerships in remainder of year.
Spurs this weekend feels damn near essential and last chance saloon for top 4 hopes
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Morning Shotts + morning all,
Part of the rebuild is, and I cross my fingers here, managing to keep our players fitter and for longer periods. If AW had suffered the same pattern of long term injuries in his first years at the club hat he has had to go through in the period since moving to the Emirates, then I doubt we would have won as many trophies as we did.
We are slowly, slowly turning that corner, with the arrival of Shad, with better medical facilities and older players. No matter how good you layers hey have to be on the pitch.
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everyone who runs any business well is rated on basis of profit making. football we are told is a big business but unfortunaly the same eople who say so are the ones who expect aesenal to always show ambition by making losses every transfer window. this january window has been the best i have witness since i’ve been suporting this club. although not perfect, but we were able to bring in two world class players and re-sign another to a long contract who would have gone for nothing in four months. we were also able to get rid of a player who do not only distrupt our play on the pitch but also distrupt the locker room. although we lost a great player in giroud and a sweet and long serving guy in walcott, we still made a reasonable amount from their sale. so when poeple began to grumble because we make profit, it baffles me. we didnt make profit in the summer window yet our transfer wasnt as great a thi january. from the way i’m veiwing it, this people would have been happy if we had sold coq for 5m, walcott for 15m and giroud for 10m while we pay united 5m+ sanchez and auba for 95m. we would have shown great ambition by making a loss in the window.
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I wouldn’t like to volunteer to be the sacrificial victim that would attempt to tell Sagna to his face that he had/has brittle bones.
Someone stomping on a recently healed fracture (with a pin) which originally followed an uncalled foul( forget about a card in such cases a foul is too much to ask for it seems, especially against Brand Tottenham.
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< which followed the original off the ball foul by clogger Rose (who some arse scratching blaggers comically rated as the best LB in Europe! He's not even the bst English LB…).
I guess when there's been such consistent protection for these division by cloggers that thhe comparison others have made with Don Revies Leeds is apt? Save for the trophies!!!!! Haha. Pure Theatre eh?
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/42942808
Harry Kane, cheat AND comedian. Love the photo, and that great natural posture of a strong athlete who really, really has had their legs taken from under them at full pelt
Can the team save the season, certainly, a lot to play for, trophies and 2 possible routes to the ECL.
But, to labour a point, they will be greatly aided if they can improve defending as a team.
And, no naive defending against serial divers
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I don’t think Sagna had brittle bones Fins, however it is very rare that any footballer will play with the metalwork still in place in the fracture. I’ve never heard of it before.
It may be the fracture was not fully united. If you stand on a bone it bends, trust me, if you stand on a bone that is fixed to a steel rod it will snap.
Admittedly standing or stomping on an opponent’s leg is not cricket, assuming it is deliberate – make your own mind up;
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great piece Shotta,
AW will leave only after giving it his all. This team essentially begins his quest for all whats been missing since the Invincibles and more.
Pep raised the stakes so high AW had no choice but to wipe the slate (somewhat) clean and counter without losing his/AFC’s soul.
The man’s poker game is absolutely top notch and regardless of how precarious things might look to us gooners, he always has the best intentions for the team, the fans, the board, and for football.
Fighting for shiny things should never mean selling out the ethics & values of life for mere profit.
We are blessed to have him.
Blessed to experience the full range of tempos the human heart was designed to cope with.
Can Auba & Mikhi save the season?
Who knows but I shall enjoy every minute of what’s left of it wiser because AW knows.
Looking forward to soaking it all in with the best gooners in cyberspace….my fellow Positivistas.
re: imagine, the dumdums be asking, “can Lacazette and Aubameyang play together?”…??
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Thanks Andy nic. I couldn’t imagine their was a pin, read it somewhere.
Who wrote the second was deliberate? my comment was described the very deliberate first brake for Sagna, and the others that we all saw and remember. I think Ramsey has also proven that he doesn’t have brittle bones after he recovered from the ‘clean’ as a surgeon would describe it break.
Also we are all in agreement that reckless fouls don’t to be deliberate? That Norwich player, and their family, should be very very very grateful that Sagna did not respond like that official from that PSG game eh? No doubt about it.
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Fascinating and none too pleasant to get a state of the nation update on back of Spurs antics.
Pgmol man and pretend independent voice Gallagher approves of both pens and the offside.
John Cross is, I expect, in line with the rest of his colleagues in maintaining both were pens. Tv heads and pundits, including erstwhile diving panel judge Murphy, all no doubt saying the same.
This is where we are, apparently the diving et al are so embedded they have supplanted reality and common sense among every section of the sport.
Occasionally someone will, out of self-interest, flip things and correctly describe what really happened- for instance it sounded like Van Dijk gave an accurate description of the event, but with tribalism being what it is, refs running with the fake reality, refusing to learn anything,etc, this can be ignored.
Pretty grim. The amount Spurs are getting away with is now staggering. The pattern of them diving relentlessly when most in need so blatantly clear.
Did we simply have the wrong type of brit in our British core, and should have gone with dirtier ones who are somehow suited to the British game in the raw, as it is, loaded with hypocrisy and an ingrained respect for tough play (though that doesn’t explain diving and other parts), or is even that not it?
We can hope we and football win out on the weekend but the game is a different one than it should be.
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Yes.
I am happy to praise the admirable restraint shown by AFC employees.
In case anyone is in any doubt please listen to the interviews with players like Wilshere: “when you play for The Arsenal you expect to get kicked” as in receive less protection from the officials.
He said it. Not me.
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Sorry Andy I did write about that reckless foul a second comment. Back to work!
It was: clumsy if we are giving the benefit of the doubt.
they push AFC players into pits, which if i remember you thought was not a push when it was actually: a push. That’s a benefit I don’t give. Thanks!
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To repeat: such players are lucky if and when their opponents don’t react like the official in the PSG game.
Unless: that’s what you want to see.
In which case: who needs the officials on the pitch?
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Reminds me of that dive you dug up from Alexis.
Not as intriguing a choice as one from Eboue a decade ago, heh, but we all remember it anyway.
Because Alexis was getting clogged all over the park that match: with biased and zero protection it’s remarkable and praiseworthy that he didn’t dive sooner in that match, and more often in his time in AFC colours.
I do praise the AFC employees for the restraint that they constantly show. On both sides of the game. That must explain why even Tottenham fans say:
“AFC represent the best in English Football”
– John Gregory
He’s not lying is he?
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Well worth keeping an eye on Sanchez at Utd for insight into lay of land
Two articles about him being kicked already. Doubt we had one in 3 and a half years.
Doubt he’s suddenly getting kicked more…unless you go by official figures!
2nd article is about him getting rough treatment at weekend, racking up highest individual fouls against in game so far this year, 7.
His total figure for year is 56, leaving him trailing Alli by 10 and top man Richardson by 20.
7 in one game is a long way out of keeping with 49 out of the previous 20, 19 of them with us.
But of course it could be simple coincidence, or as Redknapp suggested in another article merely the result of him being more targeted now because of wages. My memory is of him being targeted every single game he played.
Likewise a coincidence him winning a pen * for them second game (he went from being one of our players who possibly doesn’t play in the right way to win pens to winning pens pretty quick!), when there weren’t many for such a nippy skillful guy while with us, but plenty of good shouts ignored.
* I should double check, because haven’t watched it, but read one report which said he scored through a pen he earned.
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Safe to conclude and I’m sure we can all agree:
Sagna did / does not have brittle bones.
Cheers y’all.
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Aman at 408
Great analysis re Arsenal prospects going forward with Wenger at the helm for another 3/4 years and VAR implemented fairly we stand a great chance winning the premiership.
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<
Wilshere also said/sang:
"My old man…"
I really hope he resigns a new contract with the club. But with th the world's best ten resigning, and Miki arriving there's a little bit of doubt.
I really really hope Jack Wilshere resigns.
Given th sweaty fear some of us have over Ramsey's contract already, it has to happen!
Please.
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Yes indeed Rosicky @4:43pm…PL & CL next.
fins, JW10 will sign di damn ting soon…Bellerin already knows.
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Yes Rich, pretty much the whole of the English football establishment has come out in support of Spurs, and the refs that indulge their antics.
There is a line of stark contrast somewhere near the seven sisters road.
If, say Auba had dived like that, he would be crucified in the press.
I would love to know what Spurs have done to deserve all this protection, as Alan Brazil often reminds us, they pretty much have the London papers sewn up, but doesn’t explain the rest.
Maybe someone is trying to make it up to them for losing out with the leagues little Leicester experiment, shame they don’t give us the same consideration.
Whatever it is, they certainly have friends in high places, possibly only Utd have more
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Harry Kane “I felt contact and I went down”
an admittance that he dived, you see no where has kane claimed that the contact knocked him down, no he felt contact and took the decision to go down, that is a dive, all day every day. but the FA will not act, as he is Harry Kane of Spurs and England
no where in the rule book does contact mean its a foul, but for some reason the PGMOL, the commentators, the pundits and the Journos have banded together in England to write its own rule book for football, where not only is any contact deemed to be enough to excuse a dive if the player fits, just as they have rewritten the rules to say “he got the ball” before breaking him in to, so its not foul.
imagine walking down the street and you brush against someone and they threw themselves to the ground clutching their ankle, demanding that you be penalized for them going down.
what do you think a judge would say about such an action.
in football the Ref/Pgmol and FA are the judges, but sadly they don’t abide by the law.
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Arsenal U23’s v Everton U23’s
Iliev
Osei Tutu Mavropanos Holding Bola
Smith Rowe Willock
Dragomir Nelson Amaechi
Nketiah
Subs: Keto, Medley, Gilmour, Burton, John-Jules
Nketiah and Nelson have given AFC a 2-0 lead
seemingly Everton kicking lumps out of our lads
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Jeorge Bird
@jeorgebird
3m3 minutes ago
Arsenal 3 Everton 0. Nketiah scores again. Nelson and Willock involved in build up.
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is this a hint that Jack Wilshere has agreed a new AFC contract
Stuart MacFarlane @Stuart_PhotoAFC
Had to get all @JackWilshere’s head shots together today for http://Arsenal.com . Good to se Jack can finally grow some facial hair 😂👍#JW10
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Jeorge Bird
@jeorgebird
2m2 minutes ago
John-Jules replaces Amaechi
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I expect the judge would hear all the evidence eddy
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Jeorge Bird @jeorgebird
Arsenal 4 Everton 0. Nketiah hat-trick. No surprise really.
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anicol if he had video evidence of the incident as the FA have of the kane penalty, what would you think the judge would say/do
by the way its no surprise that the “98% correct decisions,” have claimed that the refs got everything right yesterday. Its totally laughable. You see there is no such thing as an English player being a cheat.
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I know exactly what the judge would say
He or she would review what evidence was available to the person making the decision at the time
No judge would overturn a decision unless there was a clear error of process or a perverse interpretation of the evidence available
And no, but the slo mo video film taken from three different angles would not be admissible.
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Oh yes there would be if it was an Arsenal player
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FT: Arsenal u23’s 4-0 Everton U23’s
seemingly Emile Smit-Rowe was outstanding for the U23’s tonight. Mavropanos said to have been commanding at the back and formed a good partnership with Holding.
Nketiah the second AFC player to score a hattrick v Everton in 3 days. Nelson with a very cheeky finish too.
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anicol its not about what decision was taken at the time by the ref, its about why the FA and PGMOL have not only refused to charge kane for diving, but have in fact stated that Ref got it completely right, no dive, no one was conned, come on, they have and can use every video, every angle, of the incident, but they refuse to, Why?.
Dive panel my arse, I said from day one that it was nothing but eyewash, and I’ve seen nothing, 26 rounds of games in, to suggest otherwise. There is no will, it has all be rhetoric, so they can claim to be trying. the retrospective punishment panel is exactly the same.
Anyone who thinks VAR will be run any differently are in my view misguided and in for a real let down. The FA and PGMOL do not want to change things.
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Arrivederci Senor Conti.
If some blogs and journalists are to be believed, Carlo Ancelotti will now have a choice between a long term contract with us, or short firefighting role at Chelsea. Personally, don’t believe a word of that.
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My problem with the England football beliefs
Layth
Verified account @laythy29
1h1 hour ago
Great to see England U17 World Cup winner Emile Smith-Rowe perform a thunderous but perfectly-timed challenge which indicates he has steel to go with his silky skills
A “thunderous” challenge is seen as a definition of some sort of red blooded manliness.
The player who was head and shoulders above everyone in his previous performance but only got a 7 out of 10 rating without a Thunderous challenge.
Wonder what rating he will get tonight.
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arsenal now only 5pts behind 4th placed CFC
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well said WwwB
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look what only a few days at CFC has done to Giroud
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Judges?
That’s a very interesting reference regarding match fixing in sport.
In Italy a judge acted to help people collect evidence and gave people the legal authority to tap phones in order to catch some crooks, an American judge used the term RICO in relation to football.
In the U.K. we leave the wire tapping to Piers Morgan and pals.
They did it. Not me. Please don’t shoot this feeble messenger.
But, well, it is quite a difference!
Remarkable in fact.
I hope that no minds me remarking upon it.
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Did I ever tell u lot that “Kane is as good as Messi”?
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For what it’s worth I thought Dean was absolutely appalling tonight .
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rumor that Arsenal are going to play a pre-season game in Dublin this summer, possibly v Celtic in the Aviva stadium, or/and a game v one of the Dublin League of Ireland teams, maybe St Pats or Shamrock Rovers.
For the last few years several BPL teams have played a preseason game at the Aviva. Looks like it might be Arsenal’s turn this summer.
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foreverheady the PGMOL will say he got 98% or higher correct
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I prefer well timed lunges and tackles myself,
First fell for Rozza when I saw him slide to nick the football.
Takes more strength, stamina and last but not least skill too then kicking someone. And chances are such a tackle won’t lead to a response of GBH in park kicksbout where people have to go to work the next day (it’s the working mans, and womans, game: right?)
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http://hackinginquiry.org/latest-news/statement-by-hugh-grant-following-the-hugh-grant-mirror-group-joint-statement-in-open-court/
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Didn’t see the game , just the result.
Dean being Dean? Really hope we don’t get him against the Spuds
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ACL Soccer @ACL_Soccer
Arsenal, PSG and Sevilla look to be the teams to take part in the International Champions Cup in July in Singapore #afc #arsenal
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We all know lurid stories sell papers, don’t give a flying what Dele Alli gets up to in his private life, just wish the media were equally as vigilant at reporting his sins on the pitch
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