Tag Archive | Referees

Arsenal: Only a 40% Correlation between Penalties-For and Avg League Position

It is amazing how far we as human beings, including us football fans; will go to deny reality, specifically to deny facts that do not conform with our deeply held beliefs. Denialism is a very common element of human behavior and is defined by the psychologists as: “…a person’s choice to deny reality, as a […]

The PGMOL vs Arsenal: Data Shows A Clear Pattern of Bias

The award of a phantom penalty vs Arsenal by referee Mike Dean in the New Year’s Day match versus West Bromich Albion has generated a storm of indignation among Gooners worldwide, outraged that once again a major game-changing decision was made this season which has deprived the club of critical points needed to regain its […]

A 206% Increase in Penalties vs AFC Proves Bias

The Refs Are Biased (Part 2) To conclude my two-part series on referee bias, I have taken my inspiration from the great American philosopher and writer Mark Twain. In my initial piece I was categorical. Based on penalties awarded: “The unbiased data for the past 20 years is very clear; of all the top teams […]

The Refs Are Biased (Part I)

During the course of last Sunday’s match versus Burnley it struck me how little data is publicly available on the role of the referees in deciding the fate of the Premier League title. Major game-changing decisions were made at key points by Mr. Moss and his officiating crew that significantly tilted the balance against the […]